Quick Picks: Breaking down Fight Night 137

Quick Picks: Breaking down Fight Night 137

It’s that time again, get ready for my UFC Fight Night 136 Quick Picks!

This is the second article of Quick Picks since the UFC Moscow card. I made my main card picks for Bellator and they can be seen here.  Now we have Fight Night 137. The event takes place in Brazil and is headlined by Thiago Santos fighting Eryk Anders who is a late replacement.  I’m about to tell you who’s going to win that fight and the rest of the main card fights. Pay attention.

Check out the last episode of Quick Picks here.

Last Event Record – 2-2 Fight Night 136

Total Record – 41-26

Randa Markos vs. Marina Rodriguez

Randa Markos (8-6) is entering this fight after alternating wins and losses over her past nine fights. It’s a pattern that keeps her around the UFC but doesn’t serve her well in ever reaching the top of her division. She’s fighting at Strawweight here, and if you believe in her pattern of wins and losses, she’s due for a victory.  She enjoys standing and is a tough out.

Marina Rodriguez (10-0) is making her official UFC debut after earning a contract via the Dana White Contender Series. She finished her opponent, Maria Oliveira in the first round with strikes. She’s a closer, having won six of ten victories via stoppage. That’s a pretty high rate for women’s MMA. This should be a chance for her to stand and show her talents.

If you look at the records, this should be a walk in the park for Rodriguez, however, that’s not how it works. Markos has competed against markedly better talent, and her experience in the big show makes her dangerous. I think this fight will be a standup battle, and in the end, I think the speed and accuracy of Marini Rodriguez will get it done for her. She wins her official debut.

Renan Barao vs. Andre Ewell

Renan Barao (34-6) was at one time considered to be the best Bantamweight on planet earth. Those days seem quite a while ago as Renan has stumbled and bumbled his way to losing four of his last five fights. He does have a win over Philipe Nover sandwiched in those four losses and he came into this fight a full five pounds over the weight limit. Doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence.

Andre Ewell (13-4) enters this fight on a four-fight winning streak, having won three via stoppage. He fought on the regional scene in solid promotions like LFA and CES. He actually enters this fight on the heels of winning the CES Bantamweight title. He won that fight via D’Arce Choke but he loves to stand and trade. He gets a big name for his debut, and a win would put him on the map in a big way.

I this Renan Barao is a shell of what he once was, and his slide continues here tonight. I expect this could very well be his last fight in the UFC. I think Ewell shines here and pulls the upset victory. Barao is durable, so I don’t know if Ewell gets the finish, but he will get the “W”.

Sam Alvey vs. Antonio Rogerio Nogueira

Sam Alvey (33-10) enters this fight having won three of four. He is a puncher and has big power in his hands. The rest of his game doesn’t seem as advanced, and when you face someone as crafty as Diet Nog, that can be a problem. Despite the fact that Sam is a happy and good guy, he’s going to be in enemy territory here. The Brazilian fans love the Nog brothers! Sam has a chance to catch Nog with a big shot and close the door on his career.

A. Rogerio Nogueira (22-8) is a crafty veteran who is known for his world-class grappling game but has deceivingly good boxing as well.  That said it’s been nearly two years since he was in the Octagon, and he lost that fight to Ryan Bader. Going back to 2014 he’s lost three of four. He’s 42 years old, and he’s got plenty of miles on those years. Nog Lite is a pretty substantial underdog here, rightfully so.

I like Nog and I’d love to see him turn back the clock in front of his home country. That said, MMA isn’t fairy-tale and happy endings are few and far between. I expect Alvey to eventually find Nogueira’s chin and when he does, Alvey will finish him.

Alex Oliveira vs. Carlo Pedersoli

Alex Oliveira (19-5) is one of my favorite fighters to watch. He’s a killer, standing, submissions, he’s got a killer instinct and the tools to get the job done. He’s won five of six heading into this clash, and he’s an overwhelming favorite to make it six of seven.  His favorite way of winning is clipping his opponent standing, and then following him to the mat and choking him out. I love watching him fight, and I’m expecting a solid performance here.

Carlo Pedersoli (11-1) has won eight in a row, including his UFC debut against Brad Scott back in May. He also had an impressive victory over Nicolas Dalby at Cage Warriors 93. He won a tight split decision, but it’s a big win over a large name. In fact, his victory in his UFC debut also came via Split Decision. He has a tendency to enjoy ground and pound and submissions. He’s a talented fighter but might be in over his head here.

I think Charles is the better fighter, hands down. He’ll have to be smart and not just go crazy, but I expect he’ll eventually find a second or third round submission here and pick up another win.

Thiago Santos vs. Eryk Anders

Thiago Santos (18-6) is a flat out killer. Dude has scary power and loves nothing more than finishing fighters. He’s a shark and when he smells blood in the water, it’s a frenzy. He has won five of six, and four of those were stoppages. His lone decision win came against Kevin Holland who is the definition of durable. This fight was originally Jimi Manuwa vs. Glover Teixeira but Glover fell out. Santos filled in for Glover and then Jimi tore his hamstring. Now Eryk Anders fills in at the last minute.

Eryk Anders (11-1) is 3 and 1 since coming to the UFC. His lone defeat was against the very cagey Lyoto Machida via Split Decision. He learned so much in that fight though, it some ways, it can be seen as a win. Eryk is a tremendous athlete and was a starting linebacker for Alabama, He has quickness and power although his MMA game is still developing.

I like Eryk a lot and I feel like he’s going to be at the top of the division at some point. That said, filling in late against Thiago Santos in Brazil might not have been the best choice. I think he’s going to be very competitive early, but as the rounds go on, he’s going to get stung. I think Santos eventually traps and finishes him.