Quick Picks: UFC on FOX 30 – Dustin Poirier vs. Eddie Alvarez

Quick Picks: UFC on FOX 30 – Dustin Poirier vs. Eddie Alvarez

It’s that time again, Quick Picks is back for your mocking pleasure!

This is the fifth installment of the series, Quick Picks, in which I will continue make below average picks on the main card of upcoming fight events. The last event I did was the DWCS week 6 event. I went 3-2 on that card, but I have a good feeling about this Fox card this weekend.

Last Event Record – 3-2

Total Record – 15-9

Alexander Hernandez vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier

Alexander Hernandez (9-1) might not be a household name yet, but he is certainly a talented fighter. He made a huge splash in his UFC debut knocking out Beniel Dariush in the first minute of their UFC 222 bout. He has great posture and footwork and clearly has power in his hands. He’s a super strong lightweight and will be looking to make another statement Saturday night on the big stage.

Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-2) is a talented fighter who trains north of the border at Tri-Star in Canada. He enters this fight having won four in a row. In his last bout, he needed under a minute to stop durable veteran. Evan Dunham. You also have to be watching out for submissions against Olivier, he’s a super-slick submission artist.

I like this fight quite a bit. Both guys are under 30 and have promising careers ahead of them. If Mercier loses this, it will be hard for him to get back into the Lightweight mix. It’s a bigger fight for him in that regard. I like Hernandez here, I think he’s going to be too strong and too fast standing for Olivier. I’m going with Hernandez via TKO.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk vs. Tecia Torres

Joanna Jedrzejcyk (11-2) is, of course, the former Strawweight champion and is considered one of the best female fighters on the planet. She lost her first bout to Rose Namajunas and then was again defeated by her in their rematch. Those are the only two losses of her amazing career. She is a standup machine, her boxing is the best in the division. It will be interesting to see her after two consecutive losses in a non-title fight. Will she recover or is she emotionally damaged?

Tecia Torres (10-2) I personally love the Tiny Tornado. She’s a gifted fighter who just through hard work and grit reached the upper echelon of the division. Like Joanna, she has a loss on her record to Rose Namajunas, but she also lost in her last outing to Jessica Andrade. Teccia is always improving, but this might be a case where she just isn’t at the same level.

I think Joanna will control the standup and light Tecia up while standing. I think if Torres is unable to get the fight to the mat in the first round, she’s likely going to be on the receiving end of a long night of face-punching. I think Tecia is talented, but not at the same level as Joanna. I’ve got Joanna winning this one pretty convincingly.

José Aldo vs. Jeremy Stephens

Jose Aldo (26-4) is a legend in the featherweight division. It seems a lot of fighters have sounded the alarm after he lost in consecutive fights to Max Holloway, but let’s be honest, most if not all of the UFC featherweights would lose back to back fights to Max. Few would be as competitive as Jose was. I think his 13-second loss to McGregor was not a fluke, but somewhat flukish. If they fought again, it would be an entirely different fight. Jose Aldo is still elite.

Jeremy Stephens (28-14) has the kind of punching power that fighters covet. Dude flat out throws bombs. He’s won three in a row and is currently ranked fifth in the division. He has a puncher’s chance against ANYONE, Jose Aldo included. His striking keeps him in the mix, but if Aldo chooses to wrestle, it could be a long night for Stephens.

This fight is really confounding to me. I like both fighters for different reasons. I think it comes down to speed and who will fight smarter. I feel that edge goes to Jose Aldo. I just think he’s been in bigger fights and has more big-fight experience and when things get difficult, he has more tools at his disposal to win with. Going with Aldo.

Eddie Alvarez vs. Dustin Poirier

Eddie Alvarez (29-5) holds the crown for the UFC’s most violent fighter. He’s basically the kind of violence. Alvarez has won four of five with that loss coming at the hands of Conor McGregor. This is a rematch with Dustin and the two simply do not like each other. Their first fight was ruled a No Contest after an illegal knee caused Eddie to not be able to continue. He’ll be looking for revenge.

Dustin Poirier (23-5) has really just seemingly upped his game to the next level. He had Eddie badly hurt prior to the illegal knee and has looked unstoppable lately. He’s won three in a row over three very talented fighters in Jim Miller, Anthony Pettis, and Justin Gaethje. Whoever wins this fight will most certainly find himself in the title picture. He’s ranked fourth and Alvarez third so this is a HUGE fight.

I don’t know, I keep finding reasons to pick both fighters. This is honestly a coin-toss for me. I think Eddie might be the harder puncher, but I think Dustin might have the better game right now. Ugh, I’m just not sure. I’m going to go with Dustin Poirier in what should be an AMAZING fight.